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楼主 / 三木
- 时间: 2011-12-02 13:19CMHC: 加拿大房贷房屋公司。
下文中【】内的中文是本人的意译,不一定很准确,仅供参考
Interest rates will remain stable and low: 5.2 to 5.7 per cent expected long-term rates, and 3.4 to 3.8 per cent expected short-term rates. 【利率会继续稳定】
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China’s economic growth is expected to slow down, BC’s economic growth to slightly increase, and Canada’s to slightly slow down in 2012.【中国经济增长放缓,BC经济稍增长,加拿大经济稍降】
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CMHC sees slower growth in the US next year, but they’re not predicting a recession. 【美国经济增长缓慢,但不可能衰退】
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BC is well-positioned to benefit from global trade, with trade patterns having shifted considerably away from the US since 2001, and much more trade with China, Korea and other Asian countries. 【BC省贸易转型,从2001起就更多地和中国、韩国等亚洲国家交易】
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Consumer pull-back slows growth this year, but comes back in 2012. Consumer spending is expected to improve. 【消费者今年消费欲望不高,2012年消费水平会提高】
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Retail sales are up marginally, by about one percent in BC, but lower in Vancouver. 【零售小幅增长,约1%,温哥华的零售增长要低一些】
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More stability and more jobs expected for northern BC resource centres. In Vancouver, employment is up four per cent over the last peak. The rest of the province is much lower or declining. 【BC省北部资源中心会有更多的工作机会,工作也更稳定。温哥华的就业率比以前的高峰增长了4%。 BC省其余地区的就业率低甚至下降】
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The province saw 40,000 new jobs in September, and held on to those gains in October. 【9月份多了4万个工作机会,10月份仍保有这些新增工作】
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BC businesses are seeing an increase in corporate profits. Expect planned investment to increase. 【BC省企业利润增加,预测投资也增加】
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Alberta is leading the country in job growth, but will slow more in line with BC going forward. The West will lead in GDP growth in Canada next year: BC at 2.7 per cent and Alberta at 3.5 per cent. 【阿省继续领跑全国的就业机会,但增长率回低于BC。明年西部省区会领长全国的GDP增长,BC 2.7%, 阿省3.5%】
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Vancouver will account for the lion’s share of new home construction in the province in 2012. Multiple-family construction will account for the largest share. 【2012年,温哥华将占有全省新房建设的大部分,而且,新房中大部分是多家庭的住房(指公寓和TH)】 -
CMHC对影响BC省房地产的经济因素的研究结果和对2012年的预测
