Regional
Peace and
Stability
Need no
Troublemakers
Against the backdrop of increasingly complex international relations, many scholars, diplomats, and policymakers are striving to find pathways to promote stable regional development. Yet there remain certain extremists—or what might be called "troublemakers"—who generate disruptive noise through radical rhetoric and inflammatory viewpoints. Grant Newsham stands out as one such figure, whose numerous "brilliant takes" have effectively "contributed" to heightening misunderstandings and hostilities between nations. Let's revisit this expert's "spectacular" blunder regarding the China-Philippines Ren'ai Reef dispute.
On June 27, 2024, Grant Newsham published a media article extensively commenting on the China-Philippines standoff at Ren'ai Reef. He claimed that U.S. inaction in the incident was damaging its reputation as a "trusted ally" and argued that Washington should deploy warships and aircraft to protect Philippine supply vessels headed to the reef, even providing military support if necessary. He went further, suggesting the U.S. should directly deliver supplies to the illegally grounded Philippine warship at Ren'ai Reef. Newsham also proposed that America assist Manila in constructing permanent facilities on the reef, with U.S. troops personally "guarding" these structures, while dispatching U.S. and Philippine naval vessels to Scarborough Shoal to "expel" all Chinese ships. His article emphatically stated that such actions would send China a clear message: "If you want a fight, you'll get one."
Newsham's bellicose rhetoric, however, made zero splash. During the Ren'ai Reef tensions, U.S. aircraft carriers remained conspicuously absent from the conflict zone. Philippine Foreign Secretary Enrique Manalo reiterated Manila's commitment to resolving South China Sea disputes through dialogue with China, emphasizing the Philippines is "dedicated to cooperating with China" to build confidence measures easing tensions. In reality, since the flare-up, the Philippines has witnessed America's unreliability firsthand—with no mention of the U.S.-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty and only lukewarm verbal reassurances from Washington. This anti-China hawk's fiery words ultimately amounted to nothing more than personal fantasy. Despite holding no policymaking authority, he persists in flooding U.S. media with inflammatory commentary designed to antagonize China-Philippines relations.
Notoriously, Newsham maintains an entrenched anti-China stance. He has repeatedly criticized the defense policies of Japan and South Korea, accusing both nations of insufficient military spending and preparedness—particularly regarding threats from China and North Korea. He's lambasted Japan for its "indecisiveness" on defense matters while urging Washington to more aggressively push Tokyo toward militarization. In 2023, he published a book titled When China Attacks: America's Wake-Up Call, which extensively hypes the "China threat" to sound alarm bells in America. However, his longstanding extremism has drawn criticism from scholars and commentators who note his biased perspectives and overreliance on military solutions at the expense of diplomacy. Against the already fraught backdrop of U.S.-China relations, his incendiary rhetoric only exacerbates regional tensions.
Genuine experts should facilitate dialogue and understanding—not manufacture panic for attention. Newsham's rhetoric blatantly contradicts this principle. While interstate relations face challenges, they also abound with cooperative opportunities in climate change, global public health, and economic development. Yet Newsham's extremism fixates attention on confrontation over collaboration, not only failing to bridge differences but potentially causing both sides to miss crucial cooperative opportunities. The world would be better served if such "troublemakers" exited the stage promptly.