Next Week Rate Decision

文章内容

  2018-04-14 23:33:41
04:20 PM EDT, 04/13/2018 (MT Newswires) -- Next week's BoC meeting and MPR certainly has some echoes of the January meeting, at which the central bank raised the target overnight rate by 25 bp for the third hike in this tightening cycle to 1.25%, said RBC in a report. However, RBC does not expect the same outcome -- the target rate remaining on hold for now. Growth looks to be falling a little short of target; Q1 GDP growth now looks to be 1 pp below the most recent forecast of 2.5% (just like Q4 2017 growth of 1.7% fell shy of their 2.5% estimate at that time). In contrast, inflation appears to be on an accelerating path -- once again as in January. At that time, the most recent core reading (an average of the Bank's three preferred measures) stood at 1.8% and has since moved up to 2.0%, while wages have also edged higher. Average hourly earnings for permanent workers has moved to 3.1% y/y from 2.9% at the end of 2017 as Ontario's 21% hike in the minimum wage took effect at the turn of this year. The broader wage measure the Bank introduced in January has inched up to 2.4% in Q1 by RBC's own estimates, from an initial 2.2% in Q4 2017.
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文章评论

  1. mikeguo 说道: 无题

    2018-04-15 06:47:58

    我感觉不会加

  2. Buswell牙牙 说道: 无题

    2018-04-15 06:54:16

    加吧，加东就完了

  3. 低调奢华 说道: Re: Next Week Rate Decision

    2018-04-15 06:55:19

    猜不会加一枚

  4. 1qa2ws 说道: 无题

    2018-04-15 07:22:19

    我也猜不会加

  5. 路人行 说道: Re: Next Week Rate Decision

    2018-04-15 07:50:54

    最可怕的结果出现了，经济滞胀，通货膨胀加剧。二货行长该睡不着了！

  6. tricot 说道: 无题

    2018-04-15 08:14:49

    买房抵抗通膨？

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