[GreaterFool]

Moody’s analysis contemplates 44% drop in Canadian housing prices
13/03/12 2:01 PM ET
business.financialpost...=7ded-fac6

A severe economic shock, such as the kind that hit Japan in the early 1990s and California and Nevada in 2006, would have to knock Canadian housing prices down by 44% to cause securities linked to Canadian mortgages to lose the highest ratings assigned by Moody’s Investors Service.
一个严重的经济冲击,可能让加国房价下跌44%, 负面影响房贷证卷评级。

“As with Australia, Spain and the U.K., we expect house prices in Canada to suffer the most due to the misalignment of current house prices with historic fundamentals,” Moody’s said.
Moody's 认为加拿大的房市,如同澳洲,西班牙,及英国,会受到最重大的创伤, 因为房价与经济基础脱离太远了。

In Canada, the growth in house prices over the past 10 years has ‘’far outstripped” the growth in incomes, according to Moody’s.
在加拿大,房价10年来的涨幅远远超过收入的涨幅。

“Think of it like an elastic [being stretched],” explains Mr. Connor of National Bank Financial. “The snap back is going to be a lot harder.”
就像一条拉地很紧的橡皮筋一般,他的回弹将是极为猛烈的。

[fangpao]

可惜moody说了不算。

[GreaterFool]

fangpao 写道:

可惜moody说了不算。

也可惜 Fitch 说了也不算 ; )

Canadian home prices overvalued by about 20%: Fitch
Mar 4, 2013
business.financialpost...-20-fitch/

Canadian home prices are overvalued by about 20%, according to Fitch Ratings, which unveiled a new credit rating model Monday that measures sustainable home prices, factoring in “stressed” market declines based on the U.S. experience.

[fangpao]

GreaterFool 写道:

也可惜 Fitch 说了也不算 ; ) Canadian home prices overvalued by about 20%: Fitch Mar 4, 2013 business.financialpost...-20-fitch/ Canadian home prices are overvalued by about 20%, according to Fitch Ratings, which unveiled a new credit rating model Monday that measures sustainable home prices, factoring in “stressed” market declines based on the U.S. experience.

what is Fitch? F@$%# Xitch?:lol:

[宁静]

"A severe economic shock", 大傻能说出上一次加拿大”severe economic shock”发生在什么时候吗?

这个分析的意义就如同某专家给**检查身体(算命),预测说如果得了绝症或被原子弹炸了,存活预期将会减少44年。

[GreaterFool]

看来中文媒体又比GF晚了好几个小时
本来还以为这新闻会被"选择性不播报"

世界日报: 穆迪:经济若动盪 加房价恐跌44%

信用评等机构∶若经济大动荡 加国房价将跌44%

[ye2808]

世界第一泡沫,大家小心为妙呀!真赶上下跌44%的话连本都丢了.

[发贴赚镑]

GreaterFool 写道:

看来中文媒体又比GF晚了好几个小时 本来还以为这新闻会被"选择性不播报" 世界日报: 穆迪:经济若动盪 加房价恐跌44% 信用评等机构∶若经济大动荡 加国房价将跌44%

GF 同学,你自己信这44%么?

还是只是盼着或帮着敲敲边鼓?

以目前形势看,别说再下44%了,再下个4.4%都够艰难的哈。

[子夜歌]

大黄蜂 写道:

GreaterFool 写道: 看来中文媒体又比GF晚了好几个小时 本来还以为这新闻会被"选择性不播报" 世界日报: 穆迪:经济若动盪 加房价恐跌44% 信用评等机构∶若经济大动荡 加国房价将跌44% GF 同学,你自己信这44%么? 还是只是盼着或帮着敲敲边鼓? 以目前形势看,别说再下44%了,再下个4.4%都够艰难的哈。

穆迪的这个判断称得上至高无上的真理:
如果把加拿大换成地球上古今中外任何一个国家或地区,都成立:

如果经济动荡,XXX房价将跌44%

这不废话吗。

难道还能经济动荡,房价升44%不成?

[飞天2012]

GreaterFool 写道:

Moody’s analysis contemplates 44% drop in Canadian housing prices 13/03/12 2:01 PM ET business.financialpost...=7ded-fac6 A severe economic shock, such as the kind that hit Japan in the early 1990s and California and Nevada in 2006, would have to knock Canadian housing prices down by 44% to cause securities linked to Canadian mortgages to lose the highest ratings assigned by Moody’s Investors Service. 一个严重的经济冲击,可能让加国房价下跌44%, 负面影响房贷证卷评级。 “As with Australia, Spain and the U.K., we expect house prices in Canada to suffer the most due to the misalignment of current house prices with historic fundamentals,” Moody’s said. Moody's 认为加拿大的房市,如同澳洲,西班牙,及英国,会受到最重大的创伤, 因为房价与经济基础脱离太远了。 In Canada, the growth in house prices over the past 10 years has ‘’far outstripped” the growth in incomes, according to Moody’s. 在加拿大,房价10年来的涨幅远远超过收入的涨幅。 “Think of it like an elastic [being stretched],” explains Mr. Connor of National Bank Financial. “The snap back is going to be a lot harder.” 就像一条拉地很紧的橡皮筋一般,他的回弹将是极为猛烈的。

很感谢长期的坚持,弱弱的问一句,以你现在的贷款能力,可以买那个区 的single house?不方便的话短信也成,没有别的意思。只是刚刚失去一个理想 的 sh