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加拿大總理駁斥美林銀行報告 加國經濟依然是西方國家最強勁的 (發表於17年前)

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ramon
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文章 時間: 2008-9-24 17:00 引用回復
www.ctv.ca/servlet/Art...20080924?h

U.S.-style meltdown won't happen here: Harper
Updated Wed.

Sep. 24 2008 6:39 PM ET

CTV.ca News Staff

Conservative Leader Stephen Harper is dismissing dire predictions of a U.S. style financial meltdown here in Canada.


In response to the Merrill Lynch report that suggests the housing market here is just as stressed as its U.S. counterpart, Harper said Canada's economy is still one of the most robust among industrialized, Western nations.


Despite a slowing Canadian economy, Harper said a collapse like the one occurring in the U.S. simply won't happen.


"We are taking steps to show Canadians and show international investors that this is a strong place to do business, and a well-run country with strong balance sheets of governments, households and financial institutions,' Harper said.


Earlier this week, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty told CTV's Question Period that Canadians can "rest assured our banks are solid."


He said the banking crisis in the U.S. is a concern for the global economy, but Canada has taken steps to make protect its financial sector.


Dire report


Economists at Merrill Lynch -- one of the world's most respected financial firms -- said in the report that Canadian households have "been running a larger financial deficit than households in either the U.S. or the U.K."


"After forty years of net saving, Canadian households moved into sustained deficit in 2002," David Wolf and Carolyn Kwan wrote in a report issued by Merrill Lynch's Canadian division.


The firm's data implies that the Canadian household sector is now overextending itself "as much as the U.S. or U.K. ever did."


Canadians' household net borrowing was 6.3 per cent of disposable income in 2007. That's more debt than households in Britain and close to the peak of the U.S. shortfall, just before the subprime mortgage crisis erupted in 2005.


The Merrill Lynch report says the market view that Canada's housing and credit markets are not going to "crack" like they have in the U.S. may be wrong.


"We fear, however, that it may simply be a matter of time. The clear 'tipping point' in the U.S. was the emergence of falling house prices in the summer of 2006, kicking off the vicious circles that have brought the financial system and the wider economy to the brink," the report said.


"We're just now starting to see house prices fall in Canada, and sharp rises in unsold home inventories increasingly imply that this will not be a transitory phenomenon."


Economist Don Drummond of TD Bank told CTV's Mike Duffy Live on Wednesday that Canada isn't destined to follow the U.S. into a housing meltdown.


"There are just so many things that are different. First of all we have hardly any sub-prime mortgages in Canada," he said. "By law, if you don't have a large down payment on a home in Canada, then half that mortgage has to be insured, so we don't have the financial underpinnings."


Drummond says he expects to see housing prices across the country "flatten out" over a period of time.


"We will see some housing price declines, concentrated in the west," said Drummond. "These aren't going to be the 50% price rollbacks on houses that we've experienced in Calgary and Florida we just did not have the ... lack of discipline in the mortgage that got them into that problem."
 
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laputa
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文章 時間: 2008-9-24 17:14 引用回復
ramon 寫道:
www.ctv.ca/servlet/Art...20080924?h

U.S.-style meltdown won't happen here: Harper
Updated Wed.

Sep. 24 2008 6:39 PM ET

CTV.ca News Staff

Conservative Leader Stephen Harper is dismissing dire predictions of a U.S. style financial meltdown here in Canada.


In response to the Merrill Lynch report that suggests the housing market here is just as stressed as its U.S. counterpart, Harper said Canada's economy is still one of the most robust among industrialized, Western nations.


Despite a slowing Canadian economy, Harper said a collapse like the one occurring in the U.S. simply won't happen.


"We are taking steps to show Canadians and show international investors that this is a strong place to do business, and a well-run country with strong balance sheets of governments, households and financial institutions,' Harper said.


Earlier this week, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty told CTV's Question Period that Canadians can "rest assured our banks are solid."


He said the banking crisis in the U.S. is a concern for the global economy, but Canada has taken steps to make protect its financial sector.


Dire report


Economists at Merrill Lynch -- one of the world's most respected financial firms -- said in the report that Canadian households have "been running a larger financial deficit than households in either the U.S. or the U.K."


"After forty years of net saving, Canadian households moved into sustained deficit in 2002," David Wolf and Carolyn Kwan wrote in a report issued by Merrill Lynch's Canadian division.


The firm's data implies that the Canadian household sector is now overextending itself "as much as the U.S. or U.K. ever did."


Canadians' household net borrowing was 6.3 per cent of disposable income in 2007. That's more debt than households in Britain and close to the peak of the U.S. shortfall, just before the subprime mortgage crisis erupted in 2005.


The Merrill Lynch report says the market view that Canada's housing and credit markets are not going to "crack" like they have in the U.S. may be wrong.


"We fear, however, that it may simply be a matter of time. The clear 'tipping point' in the U.S. was the emergence of falling house prices in the summer of 2006, kicking off the vicious circles that have brought the financial system and the wider economy to the brink," the report said.


"We're just now starting to see house prices fall in Canada, and sharp rises in unsold home inventories increasingly imply that this will not be a transitory phenomenon."


Economist Don Drummond of TD Bank told CTV's Mike Duffy Live on Wednesday that Canada isn't destined to follow the U.S. into a housing meltdown.


"There are just so many things that are different. First of all we have hardly any sub-prime mortgages in Canada," he said. "By law, if you don't have a large down payment on a home in Canada, then half that mortgage has to be insured, so we don't have the financial underpinnings."


Drummond says he expects to see housing prices across the country "flatten out" over a period of time.


"We will see some housing price declines, concentrated in the west," said Drummond. "These aren't going to be the 50% price rollbacks on houses that we've experienced in Calgary and Florida we just did not have the ... lack of discipline in the mortgage that got them into that problem."

big_happy.gif big_happy.gif
和中介說房子不會降價一個道理,lol
 
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法_語
(只看此人)



文章 時間: 2008-9-24 17:19 引用回復
老哈急了!保守黨又一次食言,急著提前大選,就是怕加拿大經濟會步美國的後塵。
 
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GuanZhongDaXia
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文章 時間: 2008-9-24 17:45 引用回復
"We will see some housing price declines, concentrated in the west," said Drummond. "These aren't going to be the 50% price rollbacks on houses that we've experienced in Calgary and Florida we just did not have the ... lack of discipline in the mortgage that got them into that problem."

領導人說話就是有水平。“some housing price declines”這個some是多少呢?反正從1%到100%都是some。

“These aren't going to be the 50% price rollbacks”,從1%
到49%他都會是對的。
 
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你卻如此暴躁,

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iamking
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文章 時間: 2008-9-24 20:46 引用回復
支持哈泊,這次選舉我就投票給保守黨了。
 
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tandt
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文章 時間: 2008-9-24 21:14 引用回復
iamking 寫道:
支持哈泊,這次選舉我就投票給保守黨了。

你不支持哈,支持啥? big_happy.gif
 
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ramon
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文章 時間: 2008-9-24 21:27 引用回復
至少他對加拿大的經濟有信心!並且他承諾當選後,會給第一次買房者減免稅收。

保守黨並不是急著提前大選,明年10月還要再大選一次,已經確定。本次保守黨是想建立多數政府而已。

tandt 寫道:
iamking 寫道:
支持哈泊,這次選舉我就投票給保守黨了。

你不支持哈,支持啥? big_happy.gif
 
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GuanZhongDaXia
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文章 時間: 2008-9-24 21:59 引用回復
ramon 寫道:
至少他對加拿大的經濟有信心!並且他承諾當選後,會給第一次買房者減免稅收。

保守黨並不是急著提前大選,明年10月還要再大選一次,已經確定。本次保守黨是想建立多數政府而已。


保守黨就是急著提前大選,為什麼啊?你要是否認這一基本事實,那就沒得說了。如果保守黨真的非常有信心加拿大經濟到明年10月還很好,在全球經濟衰退的形勢下,那真是功德無量,非常容易獲得選民支持,組成多數政府啊,這個時候著什麼急啊?

你怎麼知道他對加拿大的經濟是真有信心,還是試圖掩蓋真相呢?那些金融風暴裡破產的投資銀行CEO們,也都曾經信誓旦旦地說一切運行良好。
 
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_________________
------------------

世界如此美妙,

你卻如此暴躁,

這樣不好,不好。

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新好男人
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文章 時間: 2008-9-24 23:46 引用回復
廢話!

在競選時, 作為執政黨的他, 當然他要駁斥美林銀行報告, 稱加國經濟依然是西方國家最強勁的. 他不反駁就奇怪了.
 
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ramon
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文章 時間: 2008-9-25 10:56 引用回復
保守黨根本不是擔心經濟急著大選,反正明年10月還要再選一次,他能保證明年他能當選???

如果加拿大經濟衰退,他明年肯定下台。

目前大選,是為了建立多數黨政府,否則作為少數黨,通過什麼法案都很困難。

如果現在保守黨建立了多數黨,可以任意通過法案,然後加拿大經濟沒有起色,明年10月大選,還是要下台。
 
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