We estimate that a total of 4,000 cases of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan City (uncertainty range: 1,000 – 9,700) had onset of symptoms by 18th January 2020 (the last reported onset date of any case)
Our analysis suggests that the nCoV-19 outbreak has caused substantially more cases of moderate or severe respiratory illness in Wuhan than have currently been detected.
我们的分析指出,nCoV-19爆发,和之前相比已经在武汉导致大量新增的中度或重度呼吸道疾病患者。
Our estimates should not be interpreted as implying the outbreak has doubled in size in the period 12th January to 18th January