看看郭台铬在威州设厂的大忽悠

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人有多大胆、地有多大产?

一个郭台铭, 一个川普, 再加一个 Scott Walker 连大学都未毕业也没有从商经验的州长.

郭生"私下"跟川普说有可能在美国投资 300 亿美元.

Wisconsin is about to shell out as much as $3 billion for the privilege of luring Foxconn Technology Group. At $519 per citizen, it would have been cheaper to buy an iPhone for every man, woman and child in the midwestern state

Let's be clear: The big winner isn't the taxpayer. It's Foxconn and its billionaire chairman Terry Gou. As I predicted several times, Foxconn would only come to the U.S. if and when his demands were met.
Meet them is exactly what Wisconsin did, with an offering of tax credits, training grants and infrastructure improvements. In return, Foxconn said it will invest $10 billion and create 3,000 jobs.

Let's take a look at those figures: Wisconsin is paying as much as $1 million per job, which will carry an average salary of $54,000. The state's economic development corporation is selling the project to taxpayers with a claim that it will create 10,000 construction jobs for building the facility and another 6,000 indirect positions. It's expecting $3.3 million of investment per employee from the Taiwanese company.
Politicians, lobbyists and Foxconn can make the figures work by being generous with the facts. For example, if every one of those jobs came to fruition, they can claim 29,000 positions for $3 billion, or $103,000 per job. But that's not going to happen.
Foxconn has factories in China and another dozen countries globally, yet that stated $10 billion investment is more than the group's publicly traded flagship -- Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. -- has devoted to capital expenditure over the past five years combined.

威斯康辛州为吸引富士康前往设厂，将付出多达30亿美元代价，平均每个居民519美元，或许给全州男女老幼人人买一支iPhone还比较便宜。
显然大赢家不是美国纳税人，而是富士康与其董事长郭台铭。如我所料，富士康只在他的要求被满足的情况下，才会到美国设厂。
威斯康辛州正这么做，提供税务优惠、训练补助、改善基础建设，换取富士康承诺投资100亿美元、创造3,000个新工作。
检视数字可知：威斯康辛州为争取每个薪资平均5.4万美元的工作，须付出多达100万美元。该州宣称，建厂计画将创造1万个营建工作，外加6,000个间接就业机会，并预期这个台湾企业会在每个员工身上投资330万美元。
政治人物、遊说人士和富士康大可从宽认定一些事实，让这些数据站得住脚。
但富士康的工厂遍及中国大陆和其他十馀国，而这笔宣称上百亿美元的投资，郄比富士康母公司鸿海过去五年投入的资本支出总和还要多。

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There is potential for the payroll to climb to 13,000 in the future -- a figure crucial to Wisconsin justifying the expense -- but I wouldn't bet your 401(k) on it. That's because if Gou really does dish out $10 billion on this facility, the only way to make it viable is by keeping staffing low and leaning on automation to boost productivity. This LCD factory will be either labor intensive or highly automated. It can't be both.
Foxconn's plans for U.S. manufacturing take cues from Tesla Inc.'s Fremont, California facility, a highly automated factory that Gou has visited more than once. There, Elon Musk is reported to have more than 160 specialist robots to supplement the labor force. Expect Foxconn to be even more automated, because it will be making displays -- a standardized product -- whereas Tesla custom-builds its vehicles with a lot more human intervention.
It's important to keep in mind that investment pledges dished up in press releases don't always equate to the final reality.
Three years ago, Gou signed a deal with the government of Jakarta, Indonesia's capital and its biggest city, to invest $1 billion and employ local workers to make electronics. That never happened. Neither did a $30 million high-tech factory in Pennyslvania that was announced a year earlier.

2017-08-11 13:33:22 | 引用

无题

同意，说的有道理

2017-08-11 13:36:38 | 引用

yaoj

枫雅哲

Re: 看看郭台铬在威州设厂的大忽悠

强烈推选郭台铭参选下届台湾地区领导人。

2017-08-11 13:36:44 | 引用

无题

Just this past year, Foxconn is reported to have pledged investments of $5 billion in India; $3.65 billion in Kunshan, China; and $8.8 billion in Guangzhou. It's too early to know if those sums will ever be spent, but including Wisconsin, the tally now stands at $27.5 billion of commitments. That's more than Hon Hai has spent in the last 23 years.

Terry Gou didn't get where he is today by blithely spending money on huge factories. Instead, he's learned to entice leaders into thinking big, and then letting them pay.

Wisconsin shows that Foxconn isn't building the American Dream -- America is building the Foxconn machine.

但富士康的工厂遍及中国大陆和其他十馀国，而这笔宣称上百亿美元的投资，郄比富士康母公司鸿海过去五年投入的资本支出总和还要多。

郭董若真的砸100亿美元盖这座厂，让它存续的唯一可行之道是压低员工数、并倚重自动化来提升生产力。这座液晶面板厂若非劳力密集、就是高度自动化，无法唡全。

富士康的美国製计画可能参考特斯拉的加州费利蒙厂，郭董不只一次造访这座厂。据说该厂设置逾160具机器人以取代劳工，想必富士康工厂的自动化程度会更胜一筹，因为生产的是显示器，一种标準化产品，不像特斯拉客製化电动车需要较多的人手介入。

谨记在心：新闻稿发表的投资承诺，未必总会落实。

郭台铭之所以能获致今日地位，并不是靠恣意花钱盖巨厂得来，而是学会如何诱导领导人做大格局思考，并掏钱埋单。

威斯康辛投资案显示，不是富士康在筑起美国梦，而是美国在筑起富士康机器梦。

2017-08-11 13:37:57 | 引用

回音宝宝

Re: 看看郭台铬在威州设厂的大忽悠